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Crisis and the way into Europe

Economic and political crisisThe very severity of the coming crisis will bring a new clarity and sense to a people whose finest qualities are always shown in emergency. It may be thought that I desire this economic crisis to come, because I originally staked my political life on the belief that it would occur in the end. Yet I gave my whole life to the effort of ending the grinding misery of poverty in my generation, and cannot therefore wish to see even a temporary interruption of the affluent society for the present generation.

Probably the more advanced measures I believe to be ultimately necessary—notably Europe a Nation—will not be accepted until the necessity arises with the stimulus of crisis. Yet I have rebutted the suggestion I desire this to occur; it is no more true of me than of the doctor who diagnoses the need for an operation. It is my duty to state my opinion that more drastic measures will be necessary, but I still may Lope to be proved wrong in the view that so serious a crisis will happen. It would mean a hard, tough time for all of us. No one but a fool will choose the hard way if easier means are available. As for my personal position, I may be forgiven the claim at this stage of my life to have been proved right so often by subsequent events that I can now well afford with some content to be proved wrong in this particular respect. Like everyone else, I would rather continue in a happy life than have the barren satisfaction of being proved right by adversity.

Nevertheless, it is clearly my duty to warn that we may come in the end to a supreme national crisis, for the basic reason that this island will not be able indefinitely to export nearly a third of its total production in face of all the factors already discussed. Our long delay in entering Europe and the missing of so many opportunities gives us no easy escape from this situation. We shall certainly find the door of Europe closed to us until we can produce real evidence that we enter as good Europeans and not as American agents, and we may even then find considerable reluctance to open the doors of institutions which have learnt to get along quite well without us. We could have led to almost any conclusion in 1948, when I first said Europe a Nation—France and Germany were then divided and both looking to Britain for a new inspiration —now we stand instead at the end of the queue.

It is possible that the result of so many errors and this long neglect of action may finally produce such a crisis that Britain must live for a short time on a siege economy, a system very close to that employed in time of war. The period must be limited and the operation clearly defined. I am convinced that our people would support such an effort as in time of war, if they understood it was necessary both to get Britain on its feet again and to secure its entry into Europe. The end would be not destruction, but construction of the highest standard of life and the finest civilisation we have ever known. In a grave crisis all purchasing power may have to be frozen above the level necessary to give everyone just an adequate standard of life; wages, profit, interest, rent and everything else, while we sell the large surplus of our production thus created on foreign markets, not only to pay for our essential imports but also to achieve our objective. In this event we should be such a nuisance to other trading countries that a good many doors would be open before long rather than allow the process to continue. Britain can, if necessary, operate effectively not by political withdrawal but by economic dynamism, and our impact on world markets could then be considerable. One thing is clear: Britain will go into Europe when this nation is awake and means to go there. We belong there and no power on earth can stop us; also when we are truly Europeans we shall be welcome. Naturally we do not want to do anything harmful to others, but we should take vigorous action if necessary, rather than have Britain go under. Strong will in leadership evoking the strong will latent in the British people could in a relatively short time transform the European and world situation. Our great people should always be gentler and more patient than other peoples in trying to obtain our necessary ends by persuasion, but should be firmest of all when gentleness will not work; when will, strength, vigour are the need of the hour.

 


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